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Housing delivery has collapsed

Portsmouth delivered 308 homes against a requirement of 2,702 over three years — a Housing Delivery Test result of 11%, down from 26%. Its Local Plan proposes building only 74% of assessed need, and is at examination now.

Housing Trend: Worsening Attention: Medium

Key figures

11%

Housing Delivery Test

2025 measurement

Down from 26%; below 45% triggers the presumption

308 of 2,702

Homes delivered vs required

2022-23 to 2024-25

74%

Plan meets this share of need

Local Plan 2025–2040

3,158

Licensed HMOs

August 2026

Who decides

Portsmouth City Council

Local Plan, planning decisions, HMO licensing and its own housing stock

Planning Inspectorate

Examining the Local Plan now — decides whether the 74%-of-need requirement is sound

UK Government (MHCLG)

Sets the standard method, the delivery test and national planning policy

Homes England

Grant funding that determines whether affordable schemes are viable

Private developers

Actually build the great majority of homes — permission does not compel building

Neighbouring authorities

Fareham has committed to 800 homes of Portsmouth's unmet need

What you can do

Comment on the Local Plan examination and on individual planning applications

Find who to contact

What's happened, and what next

What happened

MHCLG's Housing Delivery Test measured Portsmouth at 26% (2023 measurement), 22% (2024) and 11% (2025). Two published single-year figures are extraordinarily low — 9 net additional homes in 2022-23 and 10 in 2024-25. The emerging Local Plan (Policy PLP16) proposes at least 11,369 homes for 2025–2040 against an assessed need of 15,285, a shortfall of 3,916. The plan was submitted on 18 March 2026 and inspectors issued Matters, Issues and Questions on 19 August 2026.

Why it matters

Housing supply determines affordability, who can afford to stay in the city, and how much pressure falls on temporary accommodation and homelessness services. A delivery test below 45% also weakens the council's ability to refuse applications it considers unsuitable, because the presumption in favour of development applies.

What's being done

The Local Plan is at examination, proposing a stepped requirement of ~588 homes a year rising to ~843. Strategic sites include Tipner West and Horsea Island East (1,000 homes) and Tipner East (1,056). An Article 4 Direction has required planning permission for family-home-to-HMO conversions city-wide since 2011, and city-wide additional HMO licensing has run since September 2023.

Has it worked?

Not on the delivery measure. Three consecutive delivery test results below the threshold, deteriorating each time. The Local Plan is intended to address this but has not yet been adopted, and its evidence base predates the two most recent results.

What happens next

Local Plan hearing sessions, then Main Modifications consultation expected winter 2026/27 and the inspectors' report in spring 2027. The next Housing Delivery Test measurement is the key number to watch.

Cost

Not published as a single figure — delivery depends primarily on private investment and Homes England grant rather than council spending.

What isn't published

Gaps are shown, not guessed. Each is something an official body could publish.

Not published: No published explanation for the two single-year delivery figures of 9 and 10 net additional homes.
Not published: MHCLG's own published annual components do not sum exactly to its published totals in any of the three delivery-test years.
Not published: No published decomposition of how much of the shortfall is physical constraint versus viability versus scheme timing.
Not published: Ward-level HMO concentration is published only as a map image, so no per-ward rate can be shown.
Not published: Temporary accommodation and homelessness figures are not yet included here — that research was not completed.